New polling suggests Reform UK would win Bracknell with a huge majority if a general election were held tomorrow. Electoral Calculus's 'poll of polls', based on opinion polls conducted between 4 and 26 February 2026, says that if an election was held this week Reform would take every ward except Binfield South and Jennett's Park (held by Labour) and Binfield North and Warfield West (kept by the Tories).
By way of comparison, the 2024 result was split three ways: Labour 33.7 per cent, Conservatives 31.9 per cent, Reform 17 per cent, Lib Dems 10.9 per cent and Greens 4.9 per cent.
The new projected vote shares put Reform on 33.7 per cent, Labour on 21 per cent, the Conservatives on 19.8 per cent, the Greens on 12.1 per cent and the Lib Dems on 10.1 per cent.
Electoral Calculus also anticipates nationally that Reform would win a minority government with 411 seats in the House of Commons. A spokesperson for Bracknell MP Peter Swallow said they do not comment on opinion polls.
Ted O'Neill, Local Democracy Reporter
