Polls have closed in Wokingham and it's a cliffhanger. The Lib Dems hold a wafer-thin majority of one (27 vs 19 Conservatives, five Labour and two independents) so Pauline Jorgensen could take the borough back for the Tories with just four gains.
With Labour unpopular nationally and the left split, prosperous Wokingham might revert to Conservative control - but some voters told reporters they think the Lib Dems have been doing well. Votes are expected to be counted shortly before lunchtime today.
The LDRS seat predictions:
Barkham and Arborfield - Con Hold - Sebastian Graabek
Bulmershe & Coronation - Con Hold - Yusra Salman
Emmbrook - Lib Dem Hold - Basit Alvi
Evendons - LD Hold - Richa Singh
Finchampstead - Lib Dem Gain - Laurent Seraphin
Hawkedon - Lib Dem Hold - Melanie de Jong
Hillside - Lib Dem Hold - Caroline Smith
Loddon - Con Gain - David Bragg
Maiden Erlegh and Whitegates - Lib Dem Hold - Andy NG - refugee from Hong Kong
Norreys - Con Gain - Phil Cunnington (from Labour's Nagi Nagella)
Shinfield - Con Hold - Vishal Srinivasan
South Lake - Con Gain - Michael Kennedy
Spencers Wood and Swallowfield - Con Hold - Anthony Pollock
Thames - Con Gain - Leon Cook
Twyford, Ruscombe and Hurst - LD Hold - Martijn Andrea
Wescott - Lib Dem Hold - Chris Cooke
Winnersh - Lib Dem Hold - Chetna Jamthe
Wokingham Without - 1 Lib Dem / 1 Con - Perhaps Seona Turtle and Roberta Brooks
There are plenty of wildcards. If Labour hold Norreys or Loddon it would buck the national trend; Cllr Nagella has campaigned hard in Norreys. Bulmershe could swing to Labour's Andy Croy or to Reform's Kai Meade. Thames looks likely Tory, but Katrin Harding remains a popular challenger.
South Lake could flip to the Conservatives from mayor Carol Jewell, though Reform might split the centre-right vote and let her keep the seat, which would help Stephen Conway cling to control.
Finchampstead is another key battle-losing Peter Harper to Laurent Seraphin would shake up the council, but if Harper holds it could be the seat that wins Wokingham for Pauline Jorgensen.
Speaking at a Twyford polling station, prof. Stephen Conway said: "The number of voters we are able to record as voting with their polling numbers is much smaller than the number of people who have actually voted."
There could also be surprise wins for the Greens and Reform UK - in Wokingham, things are never as they seem.
Ted O'Neill, Local Democracy Reporter
